6 Jul · 22:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1486
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cibik
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1468
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.