6 Jul · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1443
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1520
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Molin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)