6 Jul · 18:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1456
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sochor
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1491
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.