6 Jul · 22:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1449
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sebl
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1457
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H91-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.