6 Jul · 21:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1541
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dohnal
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1457
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H43-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-13)