6 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1446
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kral
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1362
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kral
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)