6 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1638
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Moravec
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1566
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H13-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)