6 Jul · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1490
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zahradka
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1456
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H1-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.