6 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1542
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Caban
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1553
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Caban
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.