6 Jul · 23:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1542
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Caban
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1506
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Caban
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.02· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H35-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.