7 Jul · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1492
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1463
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H31-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.