7 Jul · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1689
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1815
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H20-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-8)