7 Jul · 14:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1433
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Varecka
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1575
FormLLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+142
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)