7 Jul · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1416
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1492
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H27-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-15)