7 Jul · 13:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1613
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Srnka
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1492
FormWWLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)