7 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1416
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1463
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H43-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.