7 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1689
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Cerny
VJ
🇨🇿Vojtech Jirout
ELO 1586
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)