7 Jul · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1549
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sykora
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1476
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
🌟Zahradka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H41-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-28)