7 Jul · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1416
FormLLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Srnka
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1613
FormLWLWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+197
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)