7 Jul · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1718
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1815
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)