7 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1534
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Burkacki
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1502
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Burkacki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H7-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.