7 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1540
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Burkacki
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1536
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Burkacki
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H14-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.