7 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1490
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Molka
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1544
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Molka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H68-74
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.