7 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DD
🇨🇿Dariusz Drozdz
ELO 1634
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Drozdz
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1533
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Drozdz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H94-71
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (94-71)