7 Jul · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1478
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1595
FormWWLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H15-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)