7 Jul · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1532
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sikora
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1591
FormLLLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)