7 Jul · 21:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1447
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Muller
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1512
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Muller
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H13-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)