7 Jul · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1469
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rak
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1532
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Rak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)