7 Jul · 20:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1539
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Heuman
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1520
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H15-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.