7 Jul · 22:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1500
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hendrych
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1447
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H11-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.