7 Jul · 21:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1529
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Travnicek
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1528
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.