7 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1519
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kos
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1514
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H11-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.