7 Jul · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1590
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Patryk
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1521
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)