8 Jul · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1424
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1492
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H70-84
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)