8 Jul · 10:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1591
FormLLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Srnka
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1472
FormLWLWL
60%
40%
🌟Sebl stays under total as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)