8 Jul · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1424
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Nemec
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1334
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Nemec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H28-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-19)