8 Jul · 13:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1494
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cibik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1492
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.