8 Jul · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1480
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Srnka
JS
🇨🇿Jan Srnka
ELO 1591
FormLLLWL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Knazik🌟Srnka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Srnka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H9-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)