8 Jul · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1519
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fojtik
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1509
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Fojtik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 40% · 2.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.