8 Jul · 09:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1637
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Benes
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1509
FormLLLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)