8 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TS
🇨🇿Tomas Stempak
ELO 1447
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1508
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)