8 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1605
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gola
MB
🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki
ELO 1534
FormWLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)