8 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1506
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stapor
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1556
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H22-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.