8 Jul · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1478
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chvojka
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1424
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Chvojka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.