8 Jul · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1545
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1591
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H30-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.