8 Jul · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1629
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Moravec
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1545
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H14-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)