8 Jul · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1525
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1545
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.