8 Jul · 21:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1502
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1509
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vich
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H5-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.