8 Jul · 19:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1533
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zapala
TS
🇨🇿Tomasz Stachera
ELO 1497
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Zapala
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.