8 Jul · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TS
🇨🇿Tomasz Stachera
ELO 1491
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1593
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)